SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Mexico |
23.09% ( -0.09) | 27.37% ( -0.01) | 49.54% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.37% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.22% ( -0.04) | 60.78% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.17% ( -0.02) | 80.83% ( 0.03) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.63% ( -0.1) | 42.37% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.24% ( -0.09) | 78.76% ( 0.09) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.03) | 24.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( 0.04) | 59.29% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezuela | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.09% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 14.64% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.22% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.78% 0-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 49.54% |
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