SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Mexico | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Venezuela |
39.67% ( 0.3) | 28.62% ( 0.02) | 31.71% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 45.42% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.09% ( -0.11) | 60.91% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.07% ( -0.08) | 80.93% ( 0.08) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.12) | 29.96% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( 0.15) | 66.07% ( -0.15) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.28) | 35.15% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.1% ( -0.3) | 71.9% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 39.67% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 31.71% |
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