The obvious gulf in class should result in an extra urgency in the home side's performance, something which may trouble their more illustrious visitors. Nevertheless, we can still only see a comfortable win for Vigo, regardless of whether they make widespread changes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Atletico Baleares had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Atletico Baleares win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
