We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Espanyol
Celta have not been at their best for much of the season, but they are still more than capable of picking up a positive result in this match. Espanyol's confidence will be high, but draws have been incredibly frequent between these two teams in recent history, and we can see the two sides sharing the spoils here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
