We said: Real Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo
Though they have generally fared well away from home this term, Celta seem to have been more afflicted by their virus outbreak and already have a particularly thin squad.
Therefore, if they can get enough of their main men on the pitch on Sunday, then Betis can kick off the new year with another three-point haul at home - where they score at a rate of over two goals per game.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.