Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre
Malaga win 4-2 on penalties
O. (20'),
Gaztanaga (87'), Gaztanaga Arrospide (88'), Salado (117')
FT
(aet)
Rodriguez (3'), Murillo (61'), Abaida (62')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Barakaldo and Malaga.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Barakaldo had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.36%) and 0-3 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Barakaldo win it was 1-0 (4.65%).
| Result |
| Barakaldo | Draw | Malaga |
10.92% ( -0.22) | 19.87% ( -0.07) | 69.2% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 40.41% ( -0.46) |
| 48.41% ( -0.23) | 51.58% ( 0.23) |
| 26.62% ( -0.2) | 73.37% ( 0.2) |
| 46.9% ( -0.55) | 53.09% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.29% ( -0.35) | 86.71% ( 0.35) |
| 86.15% ( 0.02) | 13.84% ( -0.02) |
