Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.39%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
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