Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 7, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Toralín
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Malaga.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Malaga |
30.35% ( -0.03) | 29.58% ( 0.14) | 40.07% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 42.46% ( -0.37) |
| 35.66% ( -0.45) | 64.34% ( 0.45) |
| 16.57% ( -0.32) | 83.43% ( 0.32) |
| 61.95% ( -0.27) | 38.05% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.18% ( -0.26) | 74.82% ( 0.26) |
| 68.55% ( -0.29) | 31.45% ( 0.29) |
