Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barbudo (40'), Moreno (80'), Moreno (80+80')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Mirandes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 45.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.
Result |
Malaga | Draw | Mirandes |
45.58% ( 0.31) | 29.52% ( -0) | 24.91% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 39.77% ( -0.21) |
33.81% ( -0.15) | 66.2% ( 0.15) |
15.29% ( -0.1) | 84.72% ( 0.1) |
70.72% ( 0.1) | 29.28% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( 0.12) | 65.24% ( -0.11) |
56.23% ( -0.38) | 43.78% ( 0.38) |