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Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
2 - 0
Mirandes

Escassi (17'), Junior (47')
N'Diaye (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barbudo (40'), Moreno (80'), Moreno (80+80')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Mirandes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ponferradina 2-0 Malaga
Sunday, May 7 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 1-1 Racing
Saturday, May 6 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 45.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.

Result
MalagaDrawMirandes
45.58% (0.315 0.31) 29.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.91% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 39.77% (-0.215 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.81% (-0.146 -0.15)66.2% (0.15199999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.29% (-0.099 -0.1)84.72% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.096000000000004 0.1)29.28% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.117 0.12)65.24% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Mirandes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.23% (-0.378 -0.38)43.78% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (-0.313 -0.31)79.94% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 45.57%
    Mirandes 24.9%
    Draw 29.51%
MalagaDrawMirandes
1-0 @ 15.74% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 12.81% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 29.51%
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ponferradina 2-0 Malaga
Sunday, May 7 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 0-0 Huesca
Monday, May 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 0-2 Malaga
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Cartagena
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-2 Malaga
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: FC Andorra 1-0 Malaga
Sunday, April 2 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 1-1 Racing
Saturday, May 6 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: FC Andorra 0-1 Mirandes
Sunday, April 30 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 2-1 Burgos
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 1-2 Mirandes
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Mirandes
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 2-2 UD Ibiza
Sunday, April 2 at 8pm in Segunda Division


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