Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.

Result
Lugo	Draw	Malaga
33.06% ( -0.94)	30.05% ( -0)	36.88% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 41.88% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.64% (

-0.05)

65.36% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.86% (

-0.04)

84.14% (

0.04)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.42% (

-0.7)

36.58% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.63% (

-0.71)

73.37% (

0.71)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.03% (

0.59)

33.97% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35% (

0.64)

70.64% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Lugo 33.06%

Malaga 36.87%

Draw 30.05%

Lugo	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 33.06%	1-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.05%	0-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.87%