SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 48.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Burgos |
48.59% ( 0.09) | 27.79% ( -0.08) | 23.61% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 42.81% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.22% ( 0.24) | 61.77% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.43% ( 0.18) | 81.57% ( -0.18) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( 0.16) | 25.63% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( 0.21) | 60.53% ( -0.21) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( 0.13) | 42.43% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.19% ( 0.11) | 78.8% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.61% |
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