Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 84.03%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for CD Coria had a probability of 4.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.46%) and 0-1 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a CD Coria win it was 1-0 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
