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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Elche |
29.21% ( 0.11) | 28.02% ( 0.05) | 42.77% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.11% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.41% ( -0.13) | 59.59% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.07% ( -0.1) | 79.93% ( 0.1) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% ( 0.02) | 36.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.88% ( 0.01) | 73.12% ( -0.01) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0.15) | 27.59% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.19) | 63.11% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 42.76% |
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