SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
45.68% ( -0.07) | 29.91% ( -0.04) | 24.41% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 38.52% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.46% ( 0.14) | 67.54% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.37% ( 0.1) | 85.63% ( -0.1) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 0.03) | 29.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( 0.04) | 66% ( -0.04) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.95% ( 0.19) | 45.05% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.03% ( 0.15) | 80.97% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 16.26% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.27% Total : 45.68% | 0-0 @ 13.46% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 29.9% | 0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.41% |
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