SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Manchester United |
25.35% ( 0.04) | 24.11% ( 0.06) | 50.54% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -0.2) | 46.68% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.19) | 68.95% ( 0.2) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( -0.08) | 32.51% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% ( -0.09) | 69.04% ( 0.09) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( -0.11) | 18.5% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.28% ( -0.2) | 49.72% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.54% |
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