While Sevilla will be content to have avoided defeat at their city rivals last time out, their winless record at home is becoming increasingly alarming for a side usually so strong in front of their own fans.
With the hosts desperate for that elusive first win, and the visitors also looking to put an end to a recent mini-slump, we are expecting a competitive game with goals at both ends, but one that will ultimately end level.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
-0.34) 
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