This is a really difficult match to call, especially as both sides were in Europa League action on Thursday night. There is not much to choose between them in terms of quality, and despite Real Sociedad's excellent form of late, we are backing Real Betis to secure a share of the spoils in this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
-0.41) 
0.21) 
