Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 75.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 7.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.98%) and 0-3 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.