SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | UD Ibiza |
52.66% ( 1.06) | 27.15% ( -0.18) | 20.19% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 40.7% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.53% ( -0.2) | 62.47% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.92% ( -0.14) | 82.08% ( 0.15) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( 0.39) | 24.05% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.68% ( 0.56) | 58.32% ( -0.56) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.59% ( -1.08) | 46.41% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.96% ( -0.84) | 82.03% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 15.9% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 8.7% 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 52.65% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.44% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.45% Total : 20.19% |
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