SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal II in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | UD Ibiza |
44.64% ( 0.05) | 27.29% ( 0.05) | 28.06% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.49% ( -0.21) | 57.51% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.7% ( -0.17) | 78.3% ( 0.17) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( -0.07) | 25.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% ( -0.09) | 60.54% ( 0.09) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% ( -0.19) | 36.11% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% ( -0.2) | 72.89% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 28.06% |
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