SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Cultural Leonesa win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cultural Leonesa | Draw | Almeria |
28.95% ( -0.27) | 24.55% ( -0.05) | 46.5% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.95% ( 0.08) | 46.05% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( 0.08) | 68.35% ( -0.08) |
| Cultural Leonesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( -0.15) | 29.43% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.57% ( -0.19) | 65.43% ( 0.19) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( 0.17) | 19.89% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.98% ( 0.28) | 52.02% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cultural Leonesa | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.5% |
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