Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Granada |
51.73% ( -0.22) | 24.88% ( 0.13) | 23.38% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.49% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.36% ( -0.45) | 51.64% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% ( -0.39) | 73.42% ( 0.39) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.05% ( -0.26) | 19.95% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.89% ( -0.43) | 52.1% ( 0.43) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% ( -0.16) | 36.93% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% ( -0.16) | 73.71% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.73% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.38% |
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