Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Granada had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.17) 
