SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Alaves |
42.79% ( -0.19) | 29.32% ( 0.13) | 27.9% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.09% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.72% ( -0.38) | 64.29% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.61% ( -0.27) | 83.39% ( 0.27) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( -0.29) | 29.85% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.06% ( -0.36) | 65.94% ( 0.36) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60% ( -0.16) | 40% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.35% ( -0.14) | 76.65% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.43% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.38% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.31% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.39% Total : 27.9% |
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