SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Malaga |
44.11% ( -0.25) | 29.57% ( -0.08) | 26.32% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 40.58% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.32% ( 0.37) | 65.68% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.64% ( 0.26) | 84.36% ( -0.26) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0.05) | 29.81% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( 0.06) | 65.89% ( -0.07) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.82% ( 0.51) | 42.17% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.41% ( 0.44) | 78.58% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 15.21% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.56% | 0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.14% Total : 26.31% |
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