SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Ponferradina |
48.7% ( -0.34) | 25.92% ( 0.04) | 25.38% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( 0.1) | 54.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( 0.08) | 75.47% ( -0.08) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( -0.11) | 22.21% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.37% ( -0.17) | 55.63% ( 0.17) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% ( 0.32) | 36.46% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.75% ( 0.32) | 73.25% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.69% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.84% Total : 25.38% |
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