We said: Linares Deportivo 0-2 Barcelona
Upsets can occur in the Copa del Rey, but we are finding it very difficult to predict one in this match; Barcelona will again be missing a number of key players, but the Catalan giants should have more than enough quality to comfortably progress to the last-16 stage of the competition once again.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Linares Deportivo had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.94%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Linares Deportivo win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
