Sevilla
1 - 1
Barcelona

Papu (32')
Delaney (35'), Sanchez (88')
Kounde (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Araujo (45')
Busquets (11'), Ezzalzouli (74'), Gavi (77')

Preview

The Match

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Barcelona

While both managers will consider changes given the quick turnaround, we still feel that the end result will be the same. Barcelona should be competitive in a game which they will feel they need to win, but we can only back Sevilla to edge a close fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Barcelona
36.55%	25.31%	38.15%

Both teams to score 56.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.91%

47.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67%

69.33%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.83%

25.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1%

59.9%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7%

24.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.32%

58.68%

Score Analysis

Sevilla 36.55%

Barcelona 38.15%

Draw 25.3%

Sevilla	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 8.44% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 0.92% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 36.55%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.15%