Barcelona
3 - 2
Elche

Jutlga Blanc (16'), Gavi (19'), Gonzalez (85')
Garcia (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Morente (62'), Milla (63')
Milla (71'), Gumbau (77'), Roco (86')

Preview

The Match

It is difficult to back Barcelona with any real confidence at the moment, particularly considering their injury problems, and Elche are capable of making this a tricky encounter. We are actually expecting this to be another tight match at Camp Nou but are tipping Xavi's side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Elche
71.96%	17.76%	10.28%

Both teams to score 44.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45%

44.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.08%

66.92%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.99%

11.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.7%

35.3%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.11%

49.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.42%

84.58%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 71.95%

Elche 10.28%

Draw 17.76%

Barcelona	Draw	Elche
2-0 @ 13.37% 1-0 @ 12.11% 3-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 6.84% 4-0 @ 5.43% 4-1 @ 3.77% 5-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.55% Total : 71.95%	1-1 @ 8.43% 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 3.23% Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.76%	0-1 @ 3.82% 1-2 @ 2.93% 0-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.2% Total : 10.28%