SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Barcelona |
| 54.06% | 21.8% | 24.14% |
| Both teams to score 61.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.69% | 37.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.47% | 59.53% |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% | 13.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.71% | 41.29% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% | 28.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.61% Total : 54.06% | 1-1 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-1 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.45% Total : 24.14% |
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