Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 90.05%. A draw had a probability of 8.1% and a win for Melilla had a probability of 1.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (17.2%) and 0-4 (12.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.25%), while for a Melilla win it was 1-0 (1.12%).