SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Eibar |
30.16% ( -0.48) | 25.74% ( -0.05) | 44.1% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( -0) | 50.53% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( -0) | 72.45% ( 0) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% ( -0.34) | 30.86% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% ( -0.4) | 67.14% ( 0.4) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( 0.25) | 22.83% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( 0.36) | 56.55% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 3% Total : 30.16% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.1% |
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