Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 68.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Lorca Deportiva had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Lorca Deportiva win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
-0.12) 
0.01) 
