Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.89%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.09) 
