Mostoles
2 - 5
Burgos

Javier Garcia Cuella (25'), Lopez Oviedo (70')
Navarro Sanchez (24')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gonzalez Ballesteros (32'), Arroyo (34'), Sancris (50'), Nino (51'), Miguel (66')
Rodriguez (21'), Morante (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Mostoles and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions

Last Game: Elche 1-0 Burgos
Sunday, October 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 70.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Mostoles had a probability of 10.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.82%) and 0-3 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Mostoles win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result
Mostoles	Draw	Burgos
10.74%	19.23%	70.04%

Both teams to score 41.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.47%

49.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.44%

71.56%

Mostoles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.83%

52.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.88%

86.12%

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.03%

12.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.54%

39.46%

Score Analysis

Mostoles 10.74%

Burgos 70.03%

Draw 19.23%

Mostoles	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 4.4% 2-1 @ 2.93% 2-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.74%	1-1 @ 8.99% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 2.99% Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.23%	0-2 @ 14.11% 0-1 @ 13.82% 0-3 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 9.18% 1-3 @ 6.25% 0-4 @ 4.91% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-5 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.57% Total : 70.03%