SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 70.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Mostoles had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.82%) and 0-3 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Mostoles win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mostoles | Draw | Burgos |
| 10.74% | 19.23% | 70.04% |
| Both teams to score 41.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% | 49.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% | 71.56% |
| Mostoles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.83% | 52.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.88% | 86.12% |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.03% | 12.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.54% | 39.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mostoles | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 4.4% 2-1 @ 2.93% 2-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.74% | 1-1 @ 8.99% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 2.99% Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.23% | 0-2 @ 14.11% 0-1 @ 13.82% 0-3 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 9.18% 1-3 @ 6.25% 0-4 @ 4.91% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-5 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.57% Total : 70.03% |
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