SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Burgos |
48.75% ( -0.06) | 26.45% ( -0.21) | 24.8% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.61% ( 0.94) | 56.39% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% ( 0.75) | 77.41% ( -0.75) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( 0.37) | 23.18% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( 0.55) | 57.07% ( -0.55) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.73% ( 0.76) | 38.27% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.97% ( 0.72) | 75.03% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albacete | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 48.74% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.8% |
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