SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 45.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Granada |
45.04% ( -0.28) | 28.17% ( -0.03) | 26.78% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 44.33% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.85% ( 0.26) | 61.15% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% ( 0.2) | 81.1% ( -0.19) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0.02) | 27.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( -0.03) | 62.5% ( 0.03) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.82% ( 0.42) | 39.18% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.11% ( 0.39) | 75.89% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 45.04% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.78% |
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