SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Real Valladolid |
35.54% ( -0.99) | 28.29% ( 0.19) | 36.18% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.7% ( -0.69) | 59.3% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.3% ( -0.54) | 79.7% ( 0.54) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( -0.98) | 31.69% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% ( -1.14) | 68.1% ( 1.14) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( 0.16) | 31.28% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.36% ( 0.18) | 67.64% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.17% |
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