Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
-0.99) 
0.19) 
