SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Amorebieta |
38.77% ( 0.71) | 27.71% ( 0.1) | 33.52% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.66% ( -0.46) | 57.35% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% ( -0.37) | 78.17% ( 0.37) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( 0.19) | 28.74% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( 0.24) | 64.58% ( -0.23) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( -0.77) | 32.02% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( -0.88) | 68.48% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.77% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.52% |
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