Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 39.06%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 29.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 2-1 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.69%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.05) 
