Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 70.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Saguntino had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.31%) and 0-3 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Saguntino win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
