Rayo drew at Barcelona earlier this season and are certainly capable of picking up a positive result in this match, but it is always difficult to back against Atletico at Wanda Metropolitano, and we are expecting the Red and Whites to secure all three points courtesy of a 2-0 scoreline.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
0.94) 
-0.43) 
