Rayo have won four of their last five home games, and we think that they will claim a narrow victory over a Celta side who have lost their last five away matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-1.7) 
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