Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sestao River had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Sestao River win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.48) 
