Celta were much-improved against Sevilla last time out and are certainly capable of causing Athletic problems on Friday night. The Lions are in good form, though, and we are expecting them to be good enough to collect another three points to continue their push towards the Champions League positions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
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