Las Palmas may be the higher-seeded team, but we believe these sides are evenly matched, with both boasting solid defensive units.
The further this match remains even, the more it benefits Tenerife, who should be aided by having the crowd in their favour against their bitter rivals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
0.26) 
-0.08) 
