Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
0.34) 
-0.44) 
