Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Logrones win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Logrones win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (12.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for UD Logrones in this match.
