SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (12.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Eibar |
37.63% ( 0.09) | 30.85% ( 0.05) | 31.52% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 39.66% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.13% ( -0.15) | 67.87% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.16% ( -0.1) | 85.85% ( 0.1) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( -0.03) | 34.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( -0.03) | 71.57% ( 0.03) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( -0.19) | 39.14% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.15% ( -0.18) | 75.86% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.62% | 0-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.08) 1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.84% | 0-1 @ 12.78% 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 31.51% |
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