Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
