SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | UD Logrones |
| 53.74% | 26.01% | 20.25% |
| Both teams to score 43.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.25% | 58.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.72% | 79.28% |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% | 21.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.71% | 55.3% |
| UD Logrones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.85% | 44.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.75% | 80.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | UD Logrones |
| 1-0 @ 14.7% 2-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 4.6% 4-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.55% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 7.94% 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.25% |
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